With the greatest respect to Italy, mussolini was in charge of a relatively small country with limited power, trump on the other hand might take charge of the most powerful nation in history.
If it's of any consolation to you Harry fivethirtyeight.com has Clinton comfortably ahead right now. What I find odd (and maybe disturbing) is that yesterday Clinton was at 80.3% today Thursday 28 she was at 65.5 % that's a huge drop over 24 hours. if this drop reflects the fallout of Trump's remark about hoping Russia finds Clinton 30k missing emails and I were on Trumps staff I'd read that as if I were on right road despite all the comments about treason. Which is technically BS because Russia is a pain in the ass to us and probably more of a frenemy , not an enemy state at which we are war at. But it was a dumb remark. In order to keep this talking point...and it is and will be a talking point in the debates...going I would have suggested that wiki leaks distribute the missing emails regardless of whether they would possess them. Same Effect. But the man has no filters or he's completely mental, take your pick both are probably true.
Many people swear by http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/ and it is used in the prediction markets and probably Las Vegas