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Your Paracast Newsletter -- December 16, 2012


Gene Steinberg

Forum Super Hero
Staff member
THE PARACAST NEWSLETTER
December 16, 2012

Skeptical Researcher Lance Moody Quizzed on The Paracast

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Set Up: The Paracast is a paranormal radio show that takes you on a journey to a world beyond science, where UFOs, poltergeists and strange phenomena of all kinds have been reported by millions. The Paracast seeks to shed light on the mysteries and complexities of our Universe and the secrets that surround us in our everyday lives.

Join long-time paranormal researcher Gene Steinberg, co-host and acclaimed field investigator Christopher O'Brien, and a panel of special guest experts and experiencers, as they explore the realms of the known and unknown. Listen each week to the great stories of the history of the paranormal field in the 20th and 21st centuries.

This Week's Episode: Gene and Chris present staunch skeptic Lance Moody, who has, for a number of years, provided a solid reality check on what he regards as fanciful claims about possible paranormal events. During this session, Lance will talk about his research, his revelations about possible deception, and why he doesn't believe in such things as ghosts and UFOs.

Chris O'Brien's Site: Our Strange Planet

Lance Moody's Site: The UFO Iconoclast(s): The Lance Moody site

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We Need the Right Kind of Debunking
By Gene Steinberg

Whenever I hear about a UFO debunker, I think of the late Harvard astronomer Dr. Donald Menzel. Seems that, whenever there was a major UFO sighting, he’d make an effort to tell you why it just couldn’t be anything strange. It just HAD to be conventional, and he often twisted logic into a pretzel to make it seem that he had the answer.

Years ago, I watched an episode of a TV talk show, NBC’s “The Open Mind,” where Menzel went up against John G. Fuller, author of “The Interrupted Journey,” the best-selling book about the UFO abduction experience of Barney and Betty Hill.

When Fuller challenged Menzel’s explanation of one UFO encounter, you could see the aging scientist having a melt down then and there. Watching the discussion on a black and white TV, I could imagine Menzel’s face turning beet red as he became more and more confused over the facts of the case. It was clear to me he was just shooting from the hip, inventing his explanation out of whole cloth.

Later debunkers did better in developing explanations for UFO cases. But Menzel stands first among many, having written several books that seemed to reveal an excessive interest in the subject. If he felt there was nothing to flying saucer sightings, why did he devote so much time and energy to the subject?

Now this doesn’t mean there’s no room for healthy skepticism. Certainly most UFO sightings have conventional explanations of one sort or another, ranging from a regular airplane, a weather balloon, perhaps some sort of natural phenomenon. A pinpoint light in the sky that doesn’t seem to engage in any rapid-fire maneuvers isn’t evidence of an unworldly visit either, and photos and movies can nowadays be easily faked with software that’s readily available.

The assumption from the skeptic is that the so-called “unknowns” could be explained away as well, if there was only enough information with which to reach the inevitable conclusion that they aren’t spaceships.

Unfortunately, there’s a large residue of sightings that continue, even after many years of study, to defy rational explanation. Whether it’s five or ten percent of the case reports, or a whole lot less, they cannot be explained away if approached fairly. Being unknown doesn’t necessarily prove that ET is here, or that we’re being visited by interdimensional entities or time travelers, but many of these cases have enough data to indicate that something really strange is going on.

But entering an investigation of a possible unknown with preconceptions of what the solution might be is unscientific. It doesn’t matter if you believe or disbelieve. If your approach is colored by your expectations as to the outcome, you are apt to reach the wrong conclusion. Important evidence may be overlooked, or conclusions manipulated to support your belief system.

This is where the classic debunker does a disservice. Rather than just pointing out the flaws in any UFO case, they assume it’s all flawed. Data may be twisted to fit the preconception. It has to be an airplane, because it’s a moving light in the sky, and airplanes are occasionally seen in that area. Even if the aircraft engages in feats of maneuverability that appear to exceed that of known conventional aircraft while running silent, even at fairly close range, you have to wonder how much the pretzel can be twisted before the stretch of logic tears itself apart.

At the same time, believing that most any unusual light in the sky is a visitor from Tau Ceti is no less an exercise in futility. It doesn’t help anyone figure out what’s really going on.

The proper skeptic, however, will examine the evidence fairly, both the good and the bad, to try to reach a reasoned conclusion. The UFO may still end up as conventional, but the road to that conclusion is paved with logic and reason. It doesn’t mean the skeptic makes up a story to fit into the belief that UFOs must have mundane causes.

To be sure, skeptics also perform the valuable function of exposing the fakers. When Lance Moody, one of the skeptical regulars at The Paracast Community Forums, became suspicious of a UFO researcher trying just a little to hard to boast of his advanced degrees, he decided to do a little research. He found that the researcher in question, and he’s been named on the show and is not deserving of further publicity, didn’t have the degrees in question. Indeed, he had never been a student at the university where he allegedly received a doctorate, even though he continued to wear T-shirts identifying that institution. Of course, shirts of that sort are available to anyone who places an order.

Does that mean the long-time researcher in question, who wrote several books on the paranormal, should no longer be taken seriously? Even if his research was flawless, the answer is yes. That he would lie about his credentials is sufficient reason to suspect all of his work. It’s the same approach you see in a legal case, where the lies of a witness are used to discredit the testimony of that witness, even if the lies had nothing to do with the legal issue that’s the focus of the trial.

The problem with UFO research is that there is too much careless and superficial research. Someone sees that proverbial light in the sky, and it’s branded an unknown, rather than something that might have a perfectly normal explanation if given some careful attention. There’s also a fair amount of bickering among researchers with different points of view, and while healthy debate is useful, sometimes it just goes a bit too far.

If real, UFOs may be the greatest mystery of our time. But we need healthy, informed skepticism to toss away the irrelevant evidence, the noise, and find the signal that may, in time, lead us to sorely-needed answers about what’s really going on.

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As soon as one labels themselves as a "skeptic", they've already betrayed their bias. Why? Because rather than seeing skepticism as simply one of the tools at their disposal, it becomes the preferred tool, and for a skeptic to grant preference to anything is biased. The most devout skeptics even doubt themselves and their own conclusions. But not so with those who use skepticism to target other groups. For example, if someone says they saw an strange object in the sky, and a skeptic asks the witness what they thought it was, and the witness says it was probably an airplane, you never hear skeptics doubt that. They never ask questions like, "How can you be so sure it was only an airplane?" They'll usually justify this bias by invoking some pseudoscientific principle like Occam's Razor. But that only betrays their bias even more. If they were being true to the principles of skepticism, they wouldn't need to justify their bias by invoking anything, they would simply doubt everything ( including Occam's Razor ) with equal zest and make no specific claim about anything. As soon as skeptics make any claim with certainty, they are no longer skeptics but have moved into one camp or another ... either that of the believers or that of the deniers.
 
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